The seemingly everlasting frontal boundary responsible for Monday’s cloudiness and brief showers will shift north today as a warm front. The majority of scattered showers and thunder during the morning will be focused in northern Ohio. We should see a brief break in scattered activity in east-central Ohio through the early afternoon.
Eventually, showers and thunderstorms will redevelop during the afternoon as the atmosphere recharges. Showers and thunderstorms will eastward through the afternoon and most neighborhoods will get in on rain today. Widespread severe storms aren’t likely, but a few isolated storms this afternoon could get a little feisty with the wind. The SPC has highlighted the east-central Ohio region for a marginal risk today, mainly for the late afternoon and early evening period.
Of greater concern is the potential for heavy rainfall and flash flood with today’s activity. The atmosphere contains abundant moisture and any storms today would have the ability to produce heavy downpours.
Simulated radar for today through midnight from the hi-res model:
Cloud cover as well as rain/storms today will keep our afternoon temperatures in the 80 degree range.
The boundary will shift southward again tonight as weak high pressure builds in north bringing a temporary end to rain and thunderstorm activity. High pressure will keep things dry with occasional sunshine on Thursday.
Low pressure will track across the Great Lakes on Friday causing our persistent frontal boundary to shift north one again. Likely odds for showers and thunderstorms will return as the front lifts through the region. As with today, severe weather isn’t likely but heavy rainfall could once again become an issue.
Generally speaking, much of the area could look forward to an inch to an inch and a half of rain over the next 72 hours. Thunderstorms could produce higher amounts of rain in some spots.
Strong low pressure will approach from the southern Plains Friday night and Saturday. Shower and thunderstorm chances can be expected Saturday. There is disagreement between the models in regards to timing with the system but given the favorable parameters for lift, the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms is something that needs to be watched.
Lingering showers may hang around through Sunday morning before high pressure returns sunny and dry conditions on Monday.
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK
Generally, the mid-range temperature outlook shows seasonal temperatures for the next few days ahead of a slightly cooler trend for the weekend. Temperatures then look to be hot again to end the month into the first week of July.