Cool Friday but warming back up and turning muggy for the weekend

Autumn-like temperatures have arrived to end the work week but the cooler temperatures will be short lived. A warm front is set to bring temperatures back to the low 80s and humid conditions for the weekend. Summerlike weather will continue into early next week.

That cold front that brought rain and cooler temperatures to east-central Ohio yesterday will shift northward later today as high pressure over Canada travels east. The thick cloud cover this morning should lessen in the afternoon and we may even get into some occasional sun.

Those clouds will thicken again this evening as that boundary inches closer. Despite the cloudiness, conditions across the Valley should remain dry today. Temperatures will struggle this afternoon to reach 70 degrees with most northern neighborhoods staying in the upper 60s for the high.

We will see a slight chance for a light shower after sunset as the front approaches and lifts north through the region. Most area football games should stay dry this evening but drizzle or a light shower can’t be ruled out.

With warmer and muggier air returning, temperatures won’t drop off much tonight. We should stay in the 60s this evening with temps dipping to the low 60s by sunrise Saturday.

On Saturday low pressure will travel across the Great Lakes region and drag a cold front across northern Ohio. Modeling suggests that the front will stall to our north. Since there is some disagreement between the models on how far south the front hangs up, we will need to introduce chances for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon – especially in our northern communities.

With the Valley area firmly in the warm sector, we will have little difficulty reaching temperatures warm enough to support limited instability and thus scattered thunderstorms. You will also notice the increasing humidity. Dew points will once again climb back up making for a warm muggy day.

The highest odds for a shower or storm should coincide with the warmest temperatures –  noon to 5:00 PM. Temperatures will top out in the low 80s.

The frontal boundary will remain hung up near Lake Erie on Sunday keeping a low chance for a spotty shower or storm going mainly in the afternoon again. High pressure to the south will keep skies mostly sunny. Despite the slight odds for a shower or storm, Sunday looks like the better day of the weekend. Temperatures should top out in the low 80s as well.

If you’ve been anxiously awaiting the cool crisp temperatures of fall, you will just have to wait longer. The models have been consistent with the placement of an upper-level ridge establishing over the eastern US early next week.

This is a warm map and indicates that we can expect warm summer-like temperatures well into the first half of next week. BUT, there are indications that this warm pattern may eventually start to shift to a more autumn-like temperature pattern as we get into next weekend.

Notice the colder temperatures to the west just start to spread east in the 8 to 14 day outlook. While this isn’t quite the cold pattern some of us would like, it does show the beginnings of a trend toward average mid-October temperatures.



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