While you go about your daily routine today, offer up a prayer for folks along the Gulf Coast. A very dangerous and catastrophic Hurricane Michael will make landfall this morning. At 7:00 AM, Michael is a deadly Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 145 MPH and a central pressure of 933 mb. Michael is expected to intensify all the way to the point of making landfall.
Unfortunately, this will be a devastating storm. Fatalities are likely. Remnants of Michael will remain well south of our area. No effects are expected in east-central Ohio.
It will be another warm day today here in New Philadelphia. High pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast will continue to pump warm and humid air into east-central Ohio. Increasing clouds ahead of a strong cold front will keep our afternoon highs a little cooler than yesterday. Still, most neighborhoods will reach the low 80s today.
For those of us who enjoy warm weather, today will be the last day we see anything close to 80 degrees for quite some time – perhaps the final time this year.
It will remain warm and dry yet this evening but the odds for showers will begin ramping up after midnight as our pattern-changing front approaches from the west. Rain will be likely across the region early Thursday morning as you head out to start your day. With just a touch of instability, some thunder will be possible but severe storms are not a threat.
There may be periods of brief heavy rainfall in some areas. The front will move through at a fairly brisk rate so flooding doesn’t appear to be an issue. Generally, rainfall totals should be a half-inch or less in most spots.
It’ll be breezy with gusty winds around 15 MPH. Rain will taper off after lunchtime tomorrow ending probably by late afternoon as the front clears the region. Temperatures will be warm and muggy in the morning, then take a nose dive during the afternoon. Expect a much cooler night with lows dipping to the mid to low 40s.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
High pressure returns Friday to bring a couple of nice days to end the week. Despite the sunshine, temperatures will be much cooler than we’ve grown used to. The only questionable feature for Friday will be the extent south of a cold lake breeze. Some of our northern communities may see more clouds Friday in response. Precipitation should keep to the northern Ohio counties along the lakeshore.
We should have dry conditions region-wide with high pressure firmly in control on Saturday. Then, rain chances return on Sunday with the approach and crossing of a reinforcing front.
One certainty – it will definitely be hoodie weather. Temperatures will warm a bit on Sunday ahead of the next front, but otherwise, Friday and Saturday will bring low to mid 50s for the daytime highs.
Showers associated with the front will stick around on Monday. Tuesday and Wednesday look dry but temperatures will take another hit behind this secondary cold front. At this point, I’m not too concerned with the prospects for frost. But, this is mid-October and it’s just a matter of time before we see the end of the growing season.