A Flood Watch remains in effect for Tuscarawas and surrounding counties until 6:00 AM Friday morning.
Rain and the threat for rain will dominate our weather for Thursday as a slow-moving frontal boundary slowly inches northward toward Lake Erie through the day. An area of drier air will work in over the east-central Ohio region late this morning and into the early afternoon to bring a break in the steady rainfall.
As the boundary nears the lake a short-lived hefty slug of rain will cross the region this evening and travel north. A small ribbon of instability will sneak into east-central Ohio this evening that may be just strong enough to produce some thunder. Rainfall today and tonight may be moderate to heavy at times – especially this evening.
Hi-res futurecast simulated radar for today through 1:00 AM Friday (18 hrs):
Rain will continue overnight as the front pushes north. Breezy conditions will set up with the front as it travels through the region tonight. south wind will pick up to 10 to 20 mph with some gusts as high as 30 mph.
Steady rain will become scattered showers early Friday morning as the front finally pushes east of the region. By Friday afternoon we will be left with clouds and slight chances for an isolated shower.
Temperatures today won’t be as warm as yesterday but still, not bad for early November with most neighborhoods topping out in the 56 to 58-degree range. Temperatures tonight should cool off to the upper 40s. Temperatures on Friday won’t warm much more than a degree or two better than the overnight low.
A total of another half to one inch of rain can be expected today through Saturday morning before this weather system finally exits the region.
WEEKEND WEATHER – BRIEFLY DRY
Clouds and maybe a leftover shower or drizzle will linger Saturday morning, but clearing just to our west may work in and allow for some peaks of sunshine for the afternoon. Weak high pressure will move in Saturday night for a pleasantly sunny and dry Sunday. It may end up being the best weather day of the week.
Temperatures will top out near 50 degrees or so on Saturday then warm to the upper 50s with the sunshine on Sunday.
Oh, and we change back to standard time this weekend. Sunset Sunday night will be at 5:18 PM. Joy.
Our dry weekend weather will be brief. There are model differences with regards to timing and track but a couple of weather system will bring wet weather back to east-central Ohio next week. The first system – a low moving through the Ohio Valley – may bring showers to the region on Monday.
Then, Election Day will bring a stronger low-pressure system through the Great Lakes region. This system will drag a potent cold front across east-central Ohio accompanied by showers, and quite possibly a few thunderstorms with gusty wind.
There is plenty of time yet to work out the details with these two systems, but this will have impacts for election day – especially in the afternoon.
The cold front due on Tuesday will have an impact on temperatures for next weekend. Longer range temperature ensembles indicate a much cooler pattern will settle in behind the front next week.