Tuscarawas Valley Weather Update 02/25/2019

Slowly diminishing wind gusts can be expected today, along with colder and drier weather. The next chance of precipitation arrives with low pressure on Wednesday. The next storm system arrives late in the week to potentially bring another round of gusty wind.

It’s no surprise. There are many trees and branches down and a lot of folks without power today as a result of yesterday’s wind. For anyone without power and heat, there are a few places where you can go to warm up and get a warm beverage. Those with small children, disabled and/or elderly are especially vulnerable to the cold, so please check on your neighbors and offer your assistance. If you need a place to get warm, here is a list as of 10:00 am Monday morning:

There were some mighty strong winds yesterday across the Valley. Officially, a peak gust of 49 MPH was recorded at the New Philadelphia airport during the height of yesterday’s high wind event. Many personal weather stations in the area reported 50+ mph winds through the day. The multiplier was the fact that strong gusts continued for 12 hours. That allowed an extended period of time to weaken trees and power lines which just made things worse. We’ve not seen wind like this for several years.

It will remain breezy yet today but wind gusts will not be nearly as bad as yesterday. High pressure is moving in today so our winds will slowly decrease as we go through the day. We’ll keep the sunshine going today but it will be ineffective at providing much warmth. Temperatures this afternoon won’t do much better than the low 30s for the afternoon high.

We will remain dry tonight but chilly. Temperatures tonight will dip to the upper teens overnight.

Tuesday will bring increasing clouds but with dry air in place and high pressure just to our east we’ll remain dry. Temperatures once again won’t warm too much more than freezing, but we won’t have the wind to deal with. With a bit more cloud cover in place, temperatures Tuesday night will be a few degrees warmer and most neighborhoods should see lows in the low 20° range.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
A mid-level disturbance will move across the Great Lakes region Tuesday night through Wednesday. This will bring a band of snow showers to mainly the northern Ohio counties by Wednesday morning but a light snow shower or flurries could possibly reach at least the northern half of the Valley. Any snow that might reach this far south would be fairly light and probably wouldn’t amount to much more than a coating in some spots. Temperatures will warm to the mid-40s in the afternoon and any precipitation would change over to spotty light rain anyway.

Any of that light rain will change back over to snow showers Wednesday night as temperatures drop back to freezing after 10/11 PM. Any snow accumulation locally Wednesday night would be an inch or less.

GFS IDEA FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT brings a low threat for snow showers to the area. Any accumulation would only amount to an inch or less.

Any snow showers will quickly push east of the Valley by Thursday morning as weak high pressure returns to bring an uneventful weather day. It will be a dry day with a mix of clouds and sun. Temperatures will be a bit cooler than Wednesday with afternoon highs around 40°.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND
I mentioned our next system that might affect our area yesterday but, understandably, many folks were dealing with the current wind storm going on at the time. Today brings an even better model agreement for a strong storm system impacting the region over the weekend.

The exact track of this next system will make huge differences in whether it becomes a snow event or more of a rain event. Recent guidance has shifted the track putting the center of low pressure into eastern Lake Erie. If this trend remains consistent we would stay on the cold side of things and more of a snow event for east-central Ohio.

We will be keeping an eye on how this next storm system tracks through Ohio toward the end of the week. Although the models disagree on the exact track, most do bring a strong storms system through the region. The exact placement of the low-pressure center will determine whether this is a snow or rain event for east-central Ohio.

There is a lot of uncertainty at this point but I expect we will see another decent storm system moving through the region over the weekend. Again, there will be the potential for another round of strong gusty wind as the low deepens and moves across the Great Lakes. In addition, unlike Sunday’s storm, this potentially could bring accumulating snow as well as rain.

For now, I think it’s just good to know that we may have another round of strong wind to deal with late in the week. The models will gradually come into focus and we’ll know more about this next system as we go through the week.

Above normal temperatures Friday would then turn colder behind the storm by Sunday.

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