Tuscarawas Valley Weather Update for Sunday 03/24/2019

A warming trend continues today before rain returns tonight. Dry weather will return areawide on Tuesday. Cool but dry conditions are expected for the beginning of the work week before we warm up as we head toward the weekend.

Temperatures today will be milder than we had on Saturday and the sunshine will continue during the early morning. We will begin to see clouds moving in from the west ahead of the next weather system that will bring rain showers to the Valley tonight. Today should dry, though, so if you have outdoor plans this afternoon you’ll be good to go – despite the clouds.

Hi-res model simulation for today through 1:00 AM Monday:

Temperatures this afternoon will top out in the upper 50s and some of our southern communities may touch 60 later today. Rain showers move in mainly after 11:00 this evening and I suspect most neighborhoods will end up with a couple of tenths or so before the rain pulls off to the east Monday morning.

After a few lingering showers Monday morning, the general trend during the rest of the day will be clearing skies. Sunshine will break out in the afternoon but temperatures will be cooler with afternoon highs in the mid-40s.

MONDAY temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees cooler as opposed to today’s highs in the mid-50s. The cooler temperatures will persist into Tuesday.

Sunny skies and cool temperatures will continue into Tuesday with afternoon highs again only in the mid-40s.

WARMER AIR ARRIVES MIDWEEK
Spring-like weather will break out on Wednesday along with warmer temperatures. Expect another day of sunshine with afternoon temperatures warming to the mid-50s. Thursday looks even better. Although there will be more clouds around, dry and mostly sunny conditions will prevail. Afternoon temperatures will warm to the low-60s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND
There are some timing issues with the arrival of our next bout of rain. For now, Friday looks to remain dry with increasing clouds. Friday will remain warm with afternoon temperatures once again in the mid-60s.

Low pressure will cross the Great Lakes Friday night and Saturday with an accompanying frontal system. Scattered showers may break out as early as Friday night as the system approaches. Chances for showers, and maybe even some thunder, will be higher on Saturday with the low nearby. Temperatures will be dependent on where the cold front is located and for now, I’ve kept low-60s in the forecast. I might have to change that in later forecasts when the models get a better handle on things.

GFS (American Model) early idea for Saturday’s cold front. Timing issues remain between the models and Saturday’s temperatures will be highly dependent on when the front crosses the region. Showers and perhaps some thunder will be possible with this system.

Showers will likely linger into Sunday and temperatures will likely be knocked back about 20° or better behind the cold front.

LONGER RANGE
Longer range outlooks indicate no signal for significant warming. Odds are pretty equal that our area stays pretty much around average for early April. Remember, though, our average highs should be in the upper 50s to near 60° during this period.

Slightly better odds are forecast for above-average precipitation through the long range.

 

 

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