Cool and Breezy Thursday; Warming trend through the weekend

Colder temperatures and a breezy northwest wind for the Valley today. The wind we’ll see today is the result of that New England Nor-Easter you’ve been hearing about from the national outlets. The wind will slowly die down overnight as the parent low pressure pulls north and its influence on our weather diminishes.

GFS MODEL DEPICTION of the strong low pressure storm system bringing havoc to the New England states.

Otherwise, high pressure builds overhead keeping us dry and partly sunny today. Drizzle and light lake effect showers will be more prominent downwind of the lake and pretty much stick to the far northeast.

Temperatures this afternoon will not warm much more than the 49°/52° range due to the colder air streaming in from the northwest. Expect a chilly night ahead with lows in the upper 30s.

Friday’s weather will be uneventful. The breeze will not be quite as cold and we again remain dry across the Valley under a mix of sun and clouds. Temperatures in the afternoon will be a tad warmer than today with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 50s.

It looks like a nice night for area football locally. It will be dry and temperatures will be on the chilly side so dress accordingly if your plans include a football game.

WARMING A BIT OVER THE WEEKEND
High pressure keeps the region dry and sunny through the weekend. A southerly flow will bring warmer southern air into the mix resulting in a slight warming trend. Temperatures will warm to the upper 60s Saturday and right around 70 or so on Sunday. All-in-all it’ll be a nice weekend to get out and enjoy the fall color.

RAIN LIKELY TO START THE WORK WEEK
Our next weather maker will bring likely chances for rain Monday and Tuesday as low pressure travels from the Plains west through the Great Lakes. The low will drag a cold front across Ohio along accompanied by showers.

GFS PROJECTION for Monday afternoon indicates low pressure and its associated cold front will bring likely rain chances to east-central Ohio.

While temperatures will be quite warm for this time of the year on Monday, they will fall back to seasonal averages on Tuesday as the cold front shifts east of the region. Monday looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs around mid-70-ish. Cool and rainy on Tuesday with highs about ten degrees cooler. By Wednesday we’re back to the upper 50s to around 60°.

LONGER RANGE
Much like spring, autumn is just another transitional time as warm and cold air masses battle it out for supremacy. The rest of the month will feature wave after wave of colder air moving east through Halloween. We see this featured in upper-level model depictions but also in surface temperature model forecasts.

For those folks who have not had frost yet, I would expect everyone to get in on a frost by late next week – maybe even a freeze. The growing season will be coming to an end soon.

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