Tuscarawas Valley Weather Update 03/17/2020

Periods of rain will highlight the forecast through the rest of the workweek. Warm temperatures to end the workweek will turn sharply colder with drier conditions for the weekend.

While overcast and generally gloomy conditions prevail this morning, clouds will gradually break during the afternoon as drier air moves in from the north behind a weak frontal boundary. There is not much of a temperature difference with this front, but it will provide for drier conditions this evening and tonight locally.

Once we start to see some sun late this afternoon temperatures across the Valley should reach the low-50s in most locations. After what should be a nice sunset this evening, skies will continue to clear overnight as high pressure moves in overhead. With little in the way of clouds to hold in the warmth, lows will bottom out to just above freezing by sunrise Wednesday.

That high quickly shifts off to the east by Wednesday afternoon and allow for a strong warm front to approach from the west. This system will produce a period of widespread rainfall Wednesday night into Thursday.

REGIONAL WEATHER SNAPSHOT for Wednesday 03/18/2020

Right now I think Wednesday should remain dry for the bulk of the day but chances for rain will start to climb upward toward the late afternoon. Rain looks likely to overspread the Valley by sunset and pretty much stay with us through the night and into the Thursday morning commute.

Rain will become more scattered in nature on Wednesday as that warm front shifts off to the east. This is a potent warm front and there is definitely going to be some noticeable warming going on Thursday into the first part of Friday. If you didn’t catch spring fever yet, you’re likely to be a victim on Thursday as temperatures locally flirt with 70°. Unfortunately, though, it will not be a bright sunny day. Cloudy conditions will prevail along with the threat of showers hanging around throughout the day.

Showers will continue locally for much of Friday before the rain starts to taper off late in the day Friday. Model projections currently focus the area of heaviest rainfall pretty much through central Ohio – including east-central Ohio.

This has been fairly consistent over the past couple of days, so I have no reason to think it’s going to change much in future runs. Generally speaking, we can be looking at 1.50-inches to 2.50-inches of rain Wednesday night through Friday evening.

EXPECT COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND
Temperatures Thursday and Friday will likely be in the 70s but we can see the colder air already setting up to move into northwest Ohio by Friday afternoon.

EUROPEAN MODEL surface temperatures at 2:00 PM Friday 03/20 afternoon.

That cold air will continue to migrate southeast and what will be an afternoon in the low-70s locally will turn to upper-20s Friday night into Saturday morning. That’s a sharp temperature change, to say the least!

Despite a bright and sunny weekend, temperatures will remain quite chilly Saturday and Sunday. This is spring, however. And the sun is strong so the cold weekend temperatures will not linger. We start warming back up on Monday of next week.

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Have a great Tuesday evening!

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