Chilly temperatures arrive for the weekend

Another chilly start this morning in the Tuscarawas Valley. Actually, temperatures bottomed out a bit cooler than I expected. Although I am definitely not a fan of cold weather, I do appreciate the cooler temperatures we see in the Tuscarawas Valley in the fall. I especially love the lower dewpoints too.

Much like yesterday, skies will be virtually cloud-free today although wildfire smoke in the upper-levels will keep us from seeing clear blue skies. Expect hazy sunshine will continue today with high pressure just to our south. A more southerly breeze sets up today and that will bring in some warmer air from the southwest. Temperatures will warm to the upper-70s in most locations this afternoon. Folks down toward the southern half of Tuscarawas County could see 80°. Dew points will remain in the 50s so the humidity won’t be a problem either.

Daytime max temperatures expected today across the state. Locally, we should see afternoon highs in the upper-70s to near 80° in southern portions of the Tuscarawas Valley.

A cold front currently located well off to the northeast today will advance southeast tonight and into east-central Ohio on Thursday. Clouds will increase tonight as the front approaches the region. Temperatures will be warmer tonight than the last couple of nights dropping off to the mid-50s locally.

The cold front – and it’s a potent one – will sweep through east-central Ohio on Thursday. Other than increasing clouds, I expect little fanfare with the frontal crossing. I can’t completely rule out an isolated shower or a few sprinkles somewhere in the area early in the afternoon, but with little in the way of moisture available, odds are we stay dry here in the Valley.

A strong cold front will sink southeast through east-central Ohio on Thursday bringing a big cool down for the weekend.

Otherwise, Thursday will be a cloudier day with occasional peeks of sunshine. Afternoon highs will be on the cool side due to the clouds and the colder air filtering in. We might see low-70s briefly early in the afternoon before the front comes through. A breezy north wind could gust 15-20 mph behind the front into early evening.

THE WEEKEND – DRY BUT CHILLY
The biggest impact Thursday’s cold front will have on our area will be the cold Canadian air that flows in behind it. Temperatures on Friday will be some of the coldest we’ve seen here in the Valley since last May. The chilly air will remain in place through the weekend. Generally speaking, daytime highs will be in the mid-60s and nighttime lows in the 40s.

Saturday will bring the coolest day of the weekend. Temperatures in the Tuscarawas Valley will be about 10-degrees cooler than average.

Temperature anomalies from the National Weather Service NDFD for Saturday indicate temperatures could be around 10° cooler than normal.

The cold northwest flow aloft will also help break up and clear the upper-level wildfire smoke from the atmosphere – at least temporarily. Friday and Saturday will bring much brighter skies as high pressure builds back in overhead. We’ll see our deep blue skies again!

NWS HRRR (Rapid Refresh) model shows wildfire smoke at the mid-levels being pushed south and out of the region on Friday. Blue skies return for the weekend.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND
After a chilly almost October-like weekend, temperatures locally will moderate some as we start the next work week. Afternoon highs should rebound back to the low-70s Monday and Tuesday under ample sunshine. That’s still a bit cooler than our average highs of 76°/75° for this time of the year.

Mid-range trends indicate that we will likely return to normal daytime highs for next weekend.

Projected temperature trend from the GFS model [not to be taken literally, of course]

The cooler temperature regime is not going to last long, though. Warmer than average temperatures will return during the latter half of September. We can’t rule out a few more days in the upper-70s/low-80s before the month is through.

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