Posted 8:30 PM Monday, February 15, 2021
Well, I guess we can rule out this being a big snow producer. If you read my morning update you know I was concerned about warm air in the mid-levels nosing in overhead. That now can be verified. Sleet has been the primary precipitation type so far with this storm.
That’s not to say we won’t see any snow before this storm is over. We just aren’t going to see the heavy snow amounts that were originally in the forecast for this storm.
Since we’ve seen mainly sleet, snow amounts locally will be drastically less. (Sorry snow lovers) I’ve already seen the social media posts about how weather people always get it wrong. I’ve always tried to convey uncertainties in the forecast as best as I can. Folks who read and follow my daily updates know the story. And, I did try to explain as best as I could that sleet and freezing rain was certainly a concern. I try every day to bring you the most accurate forecast I can – namely because I live here and it’s my weather too.
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Snow won’t be the main issue, but we will still see some travel impacts from sleet. Some freezing rain will also be an issue. The Winter Storm Warning will continue into the morning but instead of snow, sleet and freezing rain will bring the primary problems.
While the majority of precipitation still looks to push northeast and out of the region early Tuesday, some freezing drizzle will remain a possibility through much of Tuesday morning. I still think Tuesday afternoon remains dry but I’ll revisit the morning data to confirm.
Tuesday will be a cold day. Afternoon highs locally will only reach the low 20s. It will turn very cold Tuesday night with lows in the single-digits. We will stay dry on Wednesday.
Our next winter storm system will begin Thursday morning. Current guidance show this storm to follow a similar track as today’s storm. And again, we will need to watch for warm air intrusion in the mid-levels.
Stay with your local weather resource for updates here on TuscWeather and the TUSCWeather app. I also post numerous updates throughout the day on Twitter (@tuscwx). Facebook does not handle timely updates well so I do not spend much time there. Be safe out there. Watch for icy spots for the morning commute.