Confidence is increasing in a significant severe weather tonight in our area

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (NWSSPC) has extended the Enhanced Risk (Level 3 on a scale of 1-5) for severe thunderstorms late tonight into east-central Ohio with the latest afternoon update. This means that confidence has increased for the potential of a widespread damaging wind event moving through our area late tonight.

Severe weather threats tonight include (in order of significance):

  1. Significant damaging straight-line wind gusts as high as 75 mph or higher
  2. Torrential Rainfall that may lead to localized flash flooding
  3. Hail, including large hail
  4. Isolated Tornadoes

We do not see this level of severe risk very often here so please take it seriously. Current model projections suggest several rounds of thunderstorms moving through east-central Ohio late tonight. Storms may continue for several hours some of which can have the potential for destructive wind gusts.

By far the biggest threats comes from straight-line winds and flooding. Hail is less of a threat. The chance for a tornado is low but not zero.

TIMING
Current models solutions indicate storms will begin moving into our area around 1:00 AM or shortly after. (Timing is still a little iffy at this point.)

Take note that this will occur late tonight and likely continue into Tuesday morning. Please make sure you have reliable methods to receive storm warnings. Wind is wind. Straight-line winds of this magnitude can be just as destructive as a tornado.

I’ll post another update later this evening with fresh data and any changes. I’ll also have short updates on Twitter (@tuscwx) as I get more details through the evening.

 

 

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