Tuscarawas Valley Solar Eclipse Update IV

Posted by Joe on Sunday, April 7

Yesterday I mentioned that the progression of an early Monday morning warm front would play a major role in cloud cover during tomorrow’s eclipse. Today’s model trends show a slightly faster progression and a slightly more favorable reduction of low-level cloud percentage. However, the slightly lower percentage of low-level clouds also brings an increase of mid and upper-level clouds over our area.

The thinner-upper-level clouds would, of course, have less of an impact than the more opaque cumulus clouds that normally populate the lower levels. I continue to think that low-level cumulus will be around Monday afternoon but they’ll be scattered. Model trends also lean toward a thinning of low-level cloudiness as the afternoon progresses.

LOCAL WEATHER TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
After a spectacular Sunday, clouds will gradually increase this evening as moisture from an approaching warm front creeps into the east-central Ohio region. We’ll see low-end chances for sprinkles or light rain with this after midnight tonight. Odds for light rain will continue through Monday morning before decreasing around or just after lunchtime.

FutureCast radar animation from midnight Sunday to 12:00 pm Monday. Scattered showers will be around with a 30% chance of light rain in any one location.

Locally, rain is not expected during the afternoon and evening.

Temperatures will be warmer than average in our area on Monday with highs in the upper-60s to near 70°. You may notice a short period during maximum solar coverage where temperatures dip a couple/three degrees.

TODAY’S BOTTOM LINE
Results from model runs today show a general improvement in cloud cover over our area on Monday afternoon. Some showers will be possible in the morning but any rain will exit before the eclipse gets underway. Scattered cumulus clouds can be expected but these are forecast to thin through the afternoon. Thin high cirrus clouds are more likely to be the dominating cloud type locally.

NAM3k Cloud coverage in the low, high, and midrange layers Monday afternoon. The bottom right is a combination of all layers. Low-level cumulus at the low level of the atmosphere can be the more problematic for viewing the eclipse.

Cloud conditions won’t be perfect, but skies are not likely to be overcast either. It will be the luck of the draw when and where opaque cumulus clouds will be overhead at any one location. Thin cirrus clouds may even provide improved viewing conditions for some people. While some occasional clouds may interrupt things at times, I don’t think they will ruin the whole experience.

Thanks for taking a few minutes to read today’s weather update for the Tuscarawas Valley. Have a great evening and enjoy the eclipse!

2 thoughts on “Tuscarawas Valley Solar Eclipse Update IV”

  1. Andrea Tiktin-Fanti

    Thank you for all of the wonderful updates you have provided for us. We are fortunate to have your services in our area.

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