Dry conditions are likely to continue into the first part of next week. We did manage to get a little rain across the Valley last Friday but here in our area, it made little difference in our drought. There was some improvement in the southeast part of the state where rain was needed the most. But for the most part, drought still covers the majority of Ohio this week.
Strong high pressure will keep any rain potential at bay in east-central Ohio through the weekend and into the early part of next week. Temperatures will also remain about 10° above normal as well through the period. Daytime highs will generally hover around the mid to upper 80s across the Valley. (Our normal high temperature runs around 78° during mid-September.)
The only positive aspect I can find is that it’s so dry we don’t have to deal with the humidity. Dewpoints will, thankfully, remain in the comfortable 50s range over at least the next 7 days.
LOOKING AHEAD
Forecast modeling is spitting out some signs of rain moving in around mid-week next week with a potential coastal low pressure system forming offshore around the Carolinas. At this point, there is still a lot of uncertainty and the National Hurricane Center only places a 30-percent probability of this developing. But, it is our next best chance of seeing legitimate rain here in the near future.
Should this system become tropical and lean toward the stronger side, the odds of some decent rainfall would increase mid-week. Conversely, if it turns out weaker, rain amounts would also naturally decrease. Low-end rain chances have been introduced in the forecast for next week in response.
Two hurdles need to be overcome: First, will the system develop, and second, will the inland track be favorable and bring desperately needed rain into east-central Ohio?
This is a week out so take it with a grain of salt. This does have the support of multiple models so it is worth keeping an eye on if you’re hopeful for rain. If this turns out to be bogus or we do miss out on any rain out of this, it’s libel to be another week before we get a chance at measurable rain in the region.
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