Our weekend weather is shaping up to be fairly typical of the weather pattern that seems to have evolved this summer. Saturday appears to be the hottest and most humid day of the weekend. And, while we can’t completely rule out a renegade shower or storm during the bulk of the day, most locations across the Tuscarawas Valley area should remain dry.
Outside of any storms, temperatures locally will run in the mid-80s. We can also expect a humid day with dewpoints running in the low-70s.
The odds for showers and storms impacting the area will gradually increase by mid-afternoon, with a shower or thunderstorm becoming more likely after 5 PM. Some of the storms that move through the east-central Ohio region late Saturday could bring strong wind gusts and maybe even some hail.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed our area in a Level 2 – Slight Risk – for strong to severe thunderstorms late in the day on Saturday.
In addition, any storms on Saturday or Saturday night could produce heavy downpours that could lead to flash flooding. Pretty much all of Ohio is highlighted for flash flood risk on Saturday.
Model guidance suggests likely chances for showers and storms continuing into Saturday night.
Sunday looks to be mainly dry, but there will be scattered thunderstorms roaming about. Temperatures on Sunday will be slightly cooler and a bit less humid. At this point, I would expect more clouds than sun.
Generally speaking, we can expect rain amounts of around three-quarters to an inch through Sunday night. Any locations that get under a downpour could end up with a bit more, of course.
NEXT WEEK – HOT AND HUMID
All of the weekend shower and thunderstorm activity results from a frontal boundary that lifts north as a cold front on Saturday. The front then reverses course on Sunday and slides south through the region as a warm front.
By Monday, the front will be well south of the region, allowing high pressure to build over the Great Lakes. That will bring fair weather back to the Valley. Temperatures will gradually build next week under an upper level high pressure.
Disturbances in the flow aloft will keep the threat of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast through much of next week.
