While many folks across the Tuscarawas Valley are pleased with the warm June-like temperatures this week, the warm southerly breezes will also bring opportunities for scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Today will include at least a small chance of a strong storm, mainly during the midday period, as a line of thunderstorms travels across Ohio, possibly arriving in our vicinity. This line of storms, if it holds together, could produce strong winds and possibly some hail. The Storm Prediction Center has placed our area in a Level 1, Marginal Risk of severe storms in response.
As mentioned, damaging wind is the primary concern, but there is also a low but non-zero potential of hail. Tornadoes are not likely with this line of storms, given the current setup.
There is also a remote chance of a second line of thunderstorms developing over Michigan that may travel into our area late tonight. This second line, should it develop, could also bring a wind threat to our area after midnight to around 2 or 3 AM.
WEDNESDAY
The threat of severe weather will continue on Wednesday, but much of Wednesday’s severe potential will depend greatly on how things play out today and tonight. Thunderstorms that develop on Wednesday look like they could bring all severe hazards. The SPC has our area highlighted in a Level 2, Slight Risk on Wednesday.
Confidence in Wednesday’s setup is fairly low at this time, but the atmosphere will be in a favorable condition for strong to severe storms to develop. All it will take is the right trigger, and we won’t know more about that until after the storms play out tonight. The current setup for Wednesday favors more of a late afternoon into late evening time window.
REST OF THE WEEK
The potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue on Thursday and will likely persist into the weekend. A final round of thunderstorms on Saturday will be accompanied by a cold front that will likely bring a cooler and drier airmass to the region on Sunday and early next week.
Until then, storm activity and intensity today and in the coming days will be heavily dependent on what evolves over the Midwest and Great Lakes regions. If you have outdoor plans, you’ll need to keep up with changing forecasts for the next handful of days.
