Warm temperatures and rain to begin meteorological spring

High pressure will bring a warm southerly breeze to the Valley for Sunday, but rain showers will move in to kick off the workweek.

After a spectacularly warm and sunny Sunday, clouds will increase tonight ahead of a weak cold front that will sink through east-central Ohio on Monday. Showers will spread west to east and the rain will eventually make to the Valley after 9:00 am. Locally, shower activity will become more scattered during the late afternoon and evening as upper-level support weakens.

The front will stall out just south of the area Monday night. We will need to keep a low chance for a spotty shower through the overnight but with little in the way of any upper-level energy present, there is little to support much precipitation.

Low pressure will develop over the Tennessee Valley early Tuesday and travel northeastward along the stalled boundary to the south. Rain will again spread into the region Tuesday afternoon. The good news is that recent model trends have continued a more southerly track of this system. While we will get in on some rain, it will not be the heavy rainfall that the models were showing late last week. Locally, we’re looking at about a half-inch or less of rain.

NWS-WPC TOTAL RAIN PROJECTION through Saturday

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
Building high pressure will push our stalled boundary to the south on Wednesday allowing us to dry out. Temperatures will remain in the 50s Wednesday and Thursday. A late-week cold front will return rain chances Thursday night and Friday then high pressure will return to bring dry but cooler weather for next weekend.

The cooldown will be mild and temporary with highs cooling off to the low 40s. However, we get right back into the warm trend through much of next week.

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