Dry and much warmer through mid-week

Posted Monday, March 8, 2021

Today will be the first of several days with warm April-like temperatures across east-central Ohio. After a chilly start this morning, look for a nice warm-up in the Tuscarawas Valley area this afternoon. Temperatures across the region will warm to around ten degrees above average and our daytime highs will remain warmer than normal all this week. Our average high for today at New Philadelphia is 47°.

Expected high temperatures for Monday

The bulk of today will contain mostly sunny skies and plenty of sunshine. We will see a few clouds towards evening as an upper-level trough moves into the Great Lakes region but we will stay dry in our area today and tonight with high pressure in control. A nice southerly breeze will become 7 to 12 mph.

High pressure at the surface and an upper-level ridge will keep dry conditions and warm temperatures for eastern Ohio through Wednesday. Several little disturbances in the upper-level flow will bring variable cloudiness through mid-week as moisture increases. Otherwise, quiet weather and warmer than normal temperatures will continue.

An upper-level ridge will shift east through Wednesday to bring dry weather and warmer than average temperatures to eastern Ohio through Wednesday.

Upper-level ridges, or simply a ridge generally bring fair weather. The opposite is an upper-level trough. Troughs generally bring unsettled and stormy weather.

While our warm temperature pattern will continue through late week, the dry weather pattern will come to an end. The sprawling high pressure area to our south will begin to shift farther east Wednesday night as a slow-moving cold front approaches. Late day Wednesday and Wednesday night will feature thickening clouds ahead of this next system.

Chances for showers will gradually increase through the day on Thursday becoming likely by Thursday evening. The front will take its good old time moving through east-central Ohio and it may not actually cross our area until Friday morning. It will eventually slide south of the region and stall out. There is some question on how far south it hangs up and depending, we could see rain chances continue into Saturday.

GFS MODEL: Thursday

Temperatures through Friday will remain near 60° until the passing of that late-week cold front. Temperatures will drop off 10° – 15° Friday night and Saturday as cooler air takes over behind the front. Some locations in northern Ohio may even see some snow early Saturday.

High pressure looks to build back in overhead during the second half of the weekend. This should bring a return to dyer conditions for Sunday, again, depending on where that cold front to our south ends up being. Temperatures will settle back to around average to finish out the weekend.

The mid-range outlook looking into next week looks much more active with several storm systems moving through the Great Lakes region. Should that prove to be the cast, we can expect to see periods of precipitation as we approach the middle part of the month.

This coincides nicely with the GFS ensemble rainfall for the next two weeks. You’ll want to focus on the green line here which tracks the expected total rainfall over the next 14 days. Basically, we’re looking at a wetter weather trend after we emerge from the warmth of this week.

Thank you for taking a few minutes of your day to catch up with our weather and supporting the Tuscarawas Valley’s only local weather outlook. Remember, you can keep up with our local forecast anytime without a bunch of ads cluttering up your screen at TuscWeather.net. Better yet, install the TUSCWeather web app on your phone. Enjoy the taste of spring this week and be safe out there!



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