12:30 pm 07/12/2027
Despite the potential of tropical moisture from the remnant of Beryl moving through the upper Ohio Valley, rain totals locally were meager at best. While most communities did see some rain from the system, rain totals didn’t amount to enough to change our drought situation. Most of the Valley remains in the Abnormally Dry classification according to the US Drought Monitor.
Our area will see several opportunities for rain in the coming days, maybe as early as Sunday.
VALLEY WEEKEND OUTLOOK
After a warm and sunny Friday, temperatures and humidity will increase over the weekend. Temperatures Saturday and Sunday in the low 90s are likely both days but Sunday should be slightly warmer than Saturday. Dewpoints will be on the increase as well and it will feel quite muggy.
Any precipitation on Saturday is likely to be confined to those areas in Ohio along the eastern Lake Erie lakeshore. The first of a series of upper-level disturbances will approach the Great Lakes region on Sunday, though. This is likely to trigger scattered showers and storms. A layer of warm air aloft and meager moisture will help keep storms from getting too rambunctious. This disturbance will, however, serve as a primer for more active weather over the next couple of days.
Thunderstorms look scattered on Sunday so it won’t be a washout. Like most random summer storms, some will get one while neighboring communities won’t. Saturday will be more humid than today, but you’ll really take notice of the humidity on Sunday.
EARLY NEXT WEEK
A southwest flow setting up by Monday will usher in a warm and humid airmass. This combination of warm moist air and upper-level disturbances moving through will raise the potential for thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday.
Signals from AI-driven models also paint a decent potential for severe thunderstorms during this period – especially on Monday and Tuesday. The spread of solutions from the various models is fairly broad this far out but the models do generally agree we could see some bumpy weather early next week. Hopefully, the models can come to better agreement by Sunday.
The hot temperatures and elevated dewpoints may also trigger Heat Advisories in our area. This potential would hinge on whether thunderstorms can develop and tamp down temperatures a bit during peak heating times in the afternoon. (100° is the heat index value that triggers a Heat Advisory)
The threat of thunderstorms and the severe weather potential will fade on Wednesday with a cold front moving through. Cooler and drier air will flow into east-central Ohio behind the front and bring dry weather and less humid conditions on Thursday.
Thanks for hanging in there with me and catching up with the Tuscarawas Valley’s only local source for weather. Enjoy the weekend. Be safe out there.
