Sunday Morning Severe Weather Update for the Tuscarawas Valley

Unseasonably warm with increasingly humid conditions this afternoon ahead of a cold front will set up a potential for strong to severe thunderstorms late this afternoon into this evening.

Warming temperatures and dewpoints today will bring the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms to the Tuscarawas Valley later today as a cold front crosses east-central Ohio late in the day.

Weather conditions will be favorable for a line of thunderstorms to develop in northwest Ohio along a potent cold front and quickly travel southeast into our area. Some cells in this line of storms could produce damaging wind gusts and large hail. Although the chances are small (2% probability), isolated tornadoes could also develop in the strongest cells.

The Storm Prediction Center has a good chunk of eastern Ohio in the Slight Risk category (Level 2 on a scale of 1-5) of severe thunderstorms today. (This is an increase from yesterday’s Level 1 risk.)

Mostly sunny conditions during the morning will give way to increasing clouds after lunchtime. Southwest winds will also pick up through the afternoon ahead of the front. Wind gusts in the 15 to 25 mph range are likely ahead of the line of storms moving in.

LOCAL TIMING
The most likely window of opportunity for severe weather in our area will be late this afternoon – between 3pm and 7pm. This won’t last long. The storms will move through the area quickly and should be south and east of the Valley by 8pm.

AFTER THE STORMS
A much colder and drier airmass will follow behind the front. Temperatures tonight will fall back to around average. Daytime highs on Monday will be some 20° cooler than today topping out in the mid-60s. Expect the mid-60s for daytime highs and nighttime lows in the low-40s for much of the week.

High pressure will bring plenty of sunshine and dry conditions along with those cooler temperatures. Unfortunately, this means that drought conditions will continue into mid-October.

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